Security Incidents in the Third Quarter of 2018
Summary Faced by an increasingly lethal air campaign by Somalia's allies, Al-Shabab (AS) was forced to change its tactics. In the third quarter of 2018, the aggregate tempo of AS attacks slightly slowed down compared to the second quarter of the year. It was forced to...
Understanding security trends by comparing Ramadan security incidents 2017 and 2018
Ramadan is the month in which Al-Shabab traditionally aims to increase the tempo of its operations. The group has usually managed to do so, even when it has faced internal problems, as a way to raise morale. However, Ramadan 2018 saw the number of spectacular attacks...
Incident Reports up to May 2018
From 1 January 2018 to 12 May 2018, we have identified more than 200 security incidents. An overwhelming number of incidents were initiated by Al-Shabab, followed by the Federal Government of Somalia and its allies. A handful of incidents were generated by ISIS....